KemetLeads
Bola Tinubu
The 'godfather' of Lagos who finally claimed the nation's top job.
KemetLeads Scorecard
How we score →A disputed but court-upheld 2023 election; constitutional conduct so far; painful reforms with uncertain payoff.
P = percentile among the other African countries over the same years. Rows 1–4 are country-level change during the tenure — evidence, not proof.
Our read
A contested mandate spent on reforms every economist urged and every household felt. Whether the pain buys a payoff will decide more than the next election.
Power 2023–
Two-term limit in force; first term began in 2023.
Sources: Archigos 4.1 (Goemans, Gleditsch & Chiozza) · Powell & Thyne coup data V2026.08.29 · term-limit conduct coded by KemetLeads
The rise
A former Lagos State governor and the most powerful political kingmaker in southern Nigeria, Tinubu spent decades building the machine that carried him to the presidency in 2023.
What they did
He moved fast on long-deferred reforms — removing the costly fuel subsidy and floating the naira — to confront Nigeria's fiscal crisis.
The full picture
Those reforms triggered a painful surge in living costs, and questions about his record and Nigeria's deep insecurity and poverty shadow his tenure.
Why it matters
Tinubu's presidency is a high-stakes test of whether hard economic medicine can revive Africa's most populous nation without breaking it.
“Emi lokan — it is my turn.”